La escuela de los momios

Lincoln City v Wimbledon

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lincoln City (Local)

Predicción 65.74%1.52momio equitativo
EV -5.34%
Ventaja -3.71%
Kelly -12.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.08%65.74%65.86%67.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.411.4473.53%71.07%70.92%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wimbledon (Visitante)

Predicción 12.76%7.84momio equitativo
EV +4.23%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.590%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.45%12.76%12.67%14.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.347.508.1715.38%13.63%13.33%12.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.51%4.65momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.299%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.37%21.50%21.47%23.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.314.354.6026.67%23.18%22.99%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 66.96%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.72%EV +4.23%E +0.517%K +0.590%G +0.025%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.44%E -0.766%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:48
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:39
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -9.28%E -6.73%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 13:44
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -7.51%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.07%E -0.234%K -0.299%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 10:00
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:20
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.20%EV -9.94%E -7.26%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.20%EV -9.94%E -7.26%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -9.28%E -6.73%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -19.35%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 09:30
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.89%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.43%EV -11.21%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.68%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.25%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 11:05
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 11:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -17.08%E -2.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.21%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-04-03 13:55