L’École des cotes

Lincoln City v Wimbledon

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lincoln City (Local)

Prévision 65.74%1.52cote équitable
EV -5.34%
Avantage -3.71%
Kelly -12.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.08%65.74%65.86%67.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.411.4473.53%71.07%70.92%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wimbledon (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.76%7.84cote équitable
EV +4.23%
Avantage +0.517%
Kelly +0.590%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 8.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.45%12.76%12.67%14.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.347.508.1715.38%13.63%13.33%12.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.51%4.65cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.234%
Kelly -0.299%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.37%21.50%21.47%23.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.314.354.6026.67%23.18%22.99%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 66.96%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.72%EV +4.23%E +0.517%K +0.590%G +0.025%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.44%E -0.766%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:48
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:39
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -9.28%E -6.73%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 13:44
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -7.51%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.07%E -0.234%K -0.299%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 10:00
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:20
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.20%EV -9.94%E -7.26%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.20%EV -9.94%E -7.26%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -9.28%E -6.73%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -19.35%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 09:30
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.89%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.43%EV -11.21%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.68%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.25%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 11:05
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 11:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -17.08%E -2.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.21%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-04-03 13:55