Language:English
Lincoln City v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lincoln City (Local)
Prediction 69.35%1.44fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.41%69.37%69.30%71.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.341.4078.13%74.58%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 11.50%8.70fair odd
EV +9.21%
Edge +0.969%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.10%11.47%11.56%12.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.088.009.5013.79%12.37%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +0.975%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.90%19.16%19.13%20.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.854.805.5022.22%20.60%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln City (Local): 69.35%; Rotherham United (Visit): 11.50%; Draw: 19.16%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.62%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +9.21%E +0.969%K +1.08%G +0.100% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +0.571%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.62%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +9.21%E +0.969%K +1.08%G +0.100% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +0.571%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.51%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 9.33I 10.72%NM 10.27%EV +7.25%E +0.777%K +0.871%G +0.063% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.22%EV +0.763%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.71%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.08%EV -9.15%E -6.99%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -11.23%E -8.78%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.99%E -3.64%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +5.36%E +0.975%K +1.19%G +0.064% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.18%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.18%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.14%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -10.91%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -10.91%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.30%E -3.12%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -13.21%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.37%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -14.93%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -16.66%E -2.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.29% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |