A Escola das Odds

Lincoln City v Rotherham United

Início: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lincoln City (Local)

Previsão 69.35%1.44odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -7.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.41%69.37%69.30%71.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.341.341.4078.13%74.58%74.63%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Previsão 11.50%8.70odd justa
EV +9.21%
Vantagem +0.969%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.100%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.10%11.47%11.56%12.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.258.088.009.5013.79%12.37%12.50%10.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.16%5.22odd justa
EV +5.36%
Vantagem +0.975%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.064%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.90%19.16%19.13%20.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.504.854.805.5022.22%20.60%20.83%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.62%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +9.21%E +0.969%K +1.08%G +0.100%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +0.571%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-21 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.62%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +9.21%E +0.969%K +1.08%G +0.100%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +0.571%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-21 14:25
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.51%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%9.33I 10.72%NM 10.27%EV +7.25%E +0.777%K +0.871%G +0.063%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.22%EV +0.763%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-21 14:45
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:40
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:40
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:19
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
PointsBet (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.71%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:25
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:18
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:20
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.08%EV -9.15%E -6.99%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -11.23%E -8.78%K -40.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.99%E -3.64%K -13.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:18
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +5.36%E +0.975%K +1.19%G +0.064%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:45
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:40
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:40
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:39
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:24
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:25
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.18%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.18%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.14%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -10.91%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:24
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -10.91%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:24
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.30%E -3.12%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -13.21%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:25
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:25
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:24
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:24
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.37%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -14.93%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -16.66%E -2.30%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%0.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%0.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%0.8%2026-03-21 14:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%0.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.29%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88%1.7%2026-03-21 14:54