La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lincoln City v Rotherham United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lincoln City (Local)
Predicción 69.35%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -7.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.41%69.37%69.30%71.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.341.4078.13%74.58%74.63%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rotherham United (Visitante)
Predicción 11.50%8.70momio equitativo
EV +9.21%
Ventaja +0.969%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.100%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.10%11.47%11.56%12.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.258.088.009.5013.79%12.37%12.50%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.16%5.22momio equitativo
EV +5.36%
Ventaja +0.975%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.90%19.16%19.13%20.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.854.805.5022.22%20.60%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.62%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +9.21%E +0.969%K +1.08%G +0.100% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +0.571%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.62%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +9.21%E +0.969%K +1.08%G +0.100% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV +0.571%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.51%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 9.33I 10.72%NM 10.27%EV +7.25%E +0.777%K +0.871%G +0.063% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.22%EV +0.763%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.71%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.08%EV -9.15%E -6.99%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -11.23%E -8.78%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -2.29%E -0.269%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.99%E -3.64%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.85%E -7.57%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +5.36%E +0.975%K +1.19%G +0.064% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.07%E -5.28%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -8.04%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.18%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.18%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.14%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -9.19%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -10.91%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -10.91%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.30%E -3.12%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -13.21%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -13.78%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.37%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -14.93%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -16.66%E -2.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.29% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |