Language:English
Lincoln City v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lincoln City (Local)
Prediction 63.54%1.57fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -9.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.12%63.56%63.56%65.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.75%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 14.02%7.13fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 7.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.11%13.98%14.03%15.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.546.507.2216.67%15.29%15.38%13.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.46%22.41%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.204.3526.67%24.24%23.81%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln City (Local): 63.54%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 14.02%; Draw: 22.44%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV +1.25%E +0.173%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.74%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.22%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.39%EV -1.98%E -0.283%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.19%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.04%E -0.902%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -2.40%E -0.551%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.77%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -9.14%E -6.39%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -9.77%E -6.88%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -9.14%E -6.39%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.47% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |