La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lincoln City v Leyton Orient
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lincoln City (Local)
Predicción 63.54%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.69%
Ventaja -3.13%
Kelly -9.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.12%63.56%63.56%65.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.75%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leyton Orient (Visitante)
Predicción 14.02%7.13momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.173%
Kelly +0.200%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%13.98%14.03%15.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.546.507.2216.67%15.29%15.38%13.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -0.715%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.46%22.41%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.124.204.3526.67%24.24%23.81%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV +1.25%E +0.173%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.74%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.22%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.39%EV -1.98%E -0.283%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.19%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.04%E -0.902%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -2.40%E -0.551%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.77%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -9.14%E -6.39%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -9.77%E -6.88%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -9.14%E -6.39%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.47% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |