L’École des cotes

Lincoln City v Leyton Orient

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lincoln City (Local)

Prévision 63.54%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -3.13%
Kelly -9.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.12%63.56%63.56%65.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.75%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leyton Orient (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.02%7.13cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.173%
Kelly +0.200%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 7.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%13.98%14.03%15.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.546.507.2216.67%15.29%15.38%13.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.44%4.46cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.715%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.34%22.46%22.41%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.204.3526.67%24.24%23.81%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.29%EV +1.25%E +0.173%K +0.200%G +0.003%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.74%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 11:15
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:24
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:19
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:20
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:05
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.22%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.39%EV -1.98%E -0.283%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:20
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:25
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:19
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.19%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.04%E -0.902%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -2.40%E -0.551%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:25
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:14
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.77%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:14
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:25
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:25
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:25
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:25
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -9.14%E -6.39%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:19
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:24
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:04
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:04
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -9.77%E -6.88%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:25
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:25
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:14
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:14
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -9.14%E -6.39%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:14
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:20
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:14
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -8.50%E -5.91%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:24
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -7.23%E -4.95%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.06%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -5.96%E -4.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-11 11:25
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.47%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.8%2026-04-11 11:15