Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient v Rotherham United

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -7.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%61.47%61.54%63.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.95%65.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rotherham United (Visit)

Prediction 15.61%6.41fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.16%15.60%15.54%17.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.835.806.5018.87%17.17%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.266%
Kelly +0.344%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.94%22.93%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.054.004.4027.78%24.71%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 61.40%; Rotherham United (Visit): 15.61%; Draw: 22.99%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.41. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.344%G +0.004%8.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -4.65%E -0.761%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:50
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -4.65%E -0.761%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.97%E -7.56%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.25%E -0.524%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.47%EV -5.74%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.63%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:17
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -15.73%E -2.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -15.73%E -2.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.47%E -0.395%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.47%E -0.395%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:20
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -17.23%E -4.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30