La escuela de los momios

Leyton Orient v Rotherham United

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Predicción 61.40%1.63momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -7.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.50%61.47%61.54%63.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.95%65.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Predicción 15.61%6.41momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.221%
Kelly +0.261%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.16%15.60%15.54%17.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.305.835.806.5018.87%17.17%17.24%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.266%
Kelly +0.344%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%22.94%22.93%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.054.004.4027.78%24.71%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.344%G +0.004%8.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -4.65%E -0.761%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -4.65%E -0.761%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:49
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.97%E -7.56%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.25%E -0.524%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.47%EV -5.74%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.63%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:17
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:29
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -15.73%E -2.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -15.73%E -2.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.47%E -0.395%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.47%E -0.395%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:19
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:20
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -17.23%E -4.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30