L’École des cotes

Leyton Orient v Rotherham United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Score final : Leyton Orient 0–2 Rotherham United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prévision 61.40%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -7.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%61.47%61.54%63.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.95%65.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rotherham United (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.61%6.41cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.261%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.16%15.60%15.54%17.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.305.835.806.5018.87%17.17%17.24%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.266%
Kelly +0.344%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.88%22.94%22.93%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.054.004.4027.78%24.71%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.344%G +0.004%8.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -4.65%E -0.761%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -4.65%E -0.761%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:49
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:30
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.97%E -7.56%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.25%E -0.524%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.47%EV -5.74%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.63%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.44%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:17
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:29
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -15.73%E -2.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -15.73%E -2.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.47%E -0.395%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.47%E -0.395%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:19
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -4.83%E -3.11%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:20
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.17%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -11.58%E -8.04%K -26.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -17.23%E -4.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-04-18 13:30