Language:English
Leyton Orient v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leyton Orient (Local)
Prediction 39.03%2.56fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.86%39.10%38.96%40.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.01%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.11%34.10%34.22%35.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.702.8038.46%36.90%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -0.727%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.80%26.83%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.453.7033.33%28.94%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 39.03%; Barnsley (Visit): 34.14%; Draw: 26.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.727%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -2.43%E -0.970%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.84%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.84%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -8.24%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 12:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.50%EV -10.62%E -4.64%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |