L’École des cotes

Leyton Orient v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prévision 39.03%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.970%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.86%39.10%38.96%40.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.01%42.02%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.14%2.93cote équitable
EV -4.41%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.11%34.10%34.22%35.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.712.702.8038.46%36.90%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.727%
Avantage -0.196%
Kelly -0.269%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.80%26.83%29.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.453.7033.33%28.94%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -2.43%E -0.970%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.84%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 12:20
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.84%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 12:20
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:05
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:20
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -8.24%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 12:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 12:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:19
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 12:06
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 12:06
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 12:05
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:05
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:19
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:19
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 12:05
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 12:05
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 12:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 12:05
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 12:05
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 12:05
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 12:18
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:19
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.75%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.50%EV -10.62%E -4.64%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 12:20
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-02-28 12:20