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Leyton Orient v Barnsley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leyton Orient (Local)
Predicción 39.03%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.970%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.86%39.10%38.96%40.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.01%42.02%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barnsley (Visitante)
Predicción 34.14%2.93momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.11%34.10%34.22%35.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.712.702.8038.46%36.90%37.04%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.727%
Ventaja -0.196%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%26.80%26.83%29.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.453.7033.33%28.94%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leyton Orient (Local): 39.03%; Barnsley (Visitante): 34.14%; Empate: 26.83%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.73. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.70, con un valor esperado de -0.727%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -2.43%E -0.970%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.84%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.84%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.55%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -8.24%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.14%E -2.63%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.11%E -2.99%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 12:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.50%EV -10.62%E -4.64%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |