Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient v Barnsley

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%41.93%41.93%42.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.202.202.2546.51%45.45%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnsley (Visit)

Prediction 31.61%3.16fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.99%31.63%31.65%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.923.0035.71%34.15%34.25%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.493%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.44%26.42%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.503.7330.30%28.88%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leyton Orient (Local): 41.94%; Barnsley (Visit): 31.61%; Draw: 26.45%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.73, with an expected value of -1.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 18:59
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.11%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -6.48%E -2.90%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.40%EV -1.35%E -0.361%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -6.89%E -3.11%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -7.06%E -2.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.11%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.11%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 19:34
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.91%E -3.48%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.73%E -3.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.99%E -4.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:59
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 18:57
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.83%E -4.57%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.49%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%16.8%2026-08-22 19:00

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