Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient v Barnsley

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Previsão 45.16%2.21odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.31%45.21%45.04%48.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.072.052.1552.63%48.36%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barnsley (Visitante)

Previsão 29.64%3.37odd justa
EV +0.775%
Vantagem +0.228%
Kelly +0.323%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.14%29.57%29.67%31.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.113.103.4034.72%32.15%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.20%3.97odd justa
EV -0.946%
Vantagem -0.241%
Kelly -0.323%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.99%25.22%25.29%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.703.9329.41%27.39%27.03%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leyton Orient (Local): 45.16%; Barnsley (Visitante): 29.64%; Empate: 25.20%. Para Barnsley (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.37. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.775%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.775%E +0.228%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -14.20%E -7.48%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV +0.775%E +0.228%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -0.707%E -0.211%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.50%EV -0.946%E -0.241%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:53
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -11.95%E -6.13%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.30%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.30%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.11%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:15
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -13.04%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -6.53%E -3.15%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.64%E -5.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -6.53%E -3.15%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.64%E -5.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%2.8%2026-08-29 13:55