Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leyton Orient v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Score final : Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prévision 45.16%2.21cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.31%45.21%45.04%48.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.072.052.1552.63%48.36%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.64%3.37cote équitable
EV +0.775%
Avantage +0.228%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.14%29.57%29.67%31.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.4034.72%32.15%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.20%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.946%
Avantage -0.241%
Kelly -0.323%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%25.22%25.29%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.703.9329.41%27.39%27.03%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leyton Orient (Local) : 45.16% ; Barnsley (Visiteur) : 29.64% ; Match nul : 25.20%. Pour Barnsley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.775%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.775%E +0.228%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -14.20%E -7.48%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV +0.775%E +0.228%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -0.707%E -0.211%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.50%EV -0.946%E -0.241%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:53
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -11.95%E -6.13%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.30%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.30%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.11%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:15
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -4.27%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -2.92%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -13.04%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -6.53%E -3.15%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.64%E -5.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -6.53%E -3.15%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.64%E -5.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%2.8%2026-08-29 13:55