Language:English
Leicester City v Oxford United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leicester City (Local)
Prediction 55.70%1.80fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%55.79%55.54%57.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.96%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oxford United (Visit)
Prediction 20.46%4.89fair odd
EV +0.278%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%20.41%20.45%21.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.544.504.9023.09%22.01%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.84%4.20fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +0.742%
Kelly +0.965%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%23.80%24.01%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.804.3327.78%25.97%26.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicester City (Local): 55.70%; Oxford United (Visit): 20.46%; Draw: 23.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.43%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV -5.04%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV +3.21%E +0.742%K +0.965%G +0.031% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.41%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -3.46%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.46%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 12:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.23%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -4.76%E -2.78%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -0.745%E -0.154%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.76%E -2.78%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +0.278%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +0.278%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |