Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leicester City v Oxford United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Leicester City 0–4 Oxford United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leicester City (Local)

Prévision 55.70%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.85%55.79%55.54%57.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.96%59.88%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Oxford United (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.46%4.89cote équitable
EV +0.278%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.071%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.76%20.41%20.45%21.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.544.504.9023.09%22.01%22.22%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.84%4.20cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +0.965%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.02%23.80%24.01%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.804.3327.78%25.97%26.32%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leicester City (Local) : 55.70% ; Oxford United (Visiteur) : 20.46% ; Match nul : 23.84%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.20. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.33, soit une espérance positive de +3.21%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.43%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV -5.04%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV +3.21%E +0.742%K +0.965%G +0.031%4.9%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.41%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -3.46%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.46%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:09
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 12:03
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.23%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 13:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -4.76%E -2.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 13:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -0.745%E -0.154%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.76%E -2.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +0.278%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +0.278%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35