Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City v Oxford United

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Leicester City 0–4 Oxford United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City (Local)

Previsão 55.70%1.80odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.85%55.79%55.54%57.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.96%59.88%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oxford United (Visitante)

Previsão 20.46%4.89odd justa
EV +0.278%
Vantagem +0.057%
Kelly +0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.76%20.41%20.45%21.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.544.504.9023.09%22.01%22.22%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.84%4.20odd justa
EV +3.21%
Vantagem +0.742%
Kelly +0.965%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.02%23.80%24.01%25.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.853.804.3327.78%25.97%26.32%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leicester City (Local): 55.70%; Oxford United (Visitante): 20.46%; Empate: 23.84%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.20. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.43%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV -5.04%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV +3.21%E +0.742%K +0.965%G +0.031%4.9%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.114%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.41%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -3.46%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.46%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:09
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.65%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 12:03
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.23%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.43%E -3.83%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.42%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 13:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.31%E -3.13%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.61%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -4.76%E -2.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 13:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -0.745%E -0.154%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.80%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.76%E -2.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +0.278%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +0.278%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35