Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City v Burton Albion

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City (Local)

Prediction 62.88%1.59fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -3.78%
Kelly -11.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.13%62.76%62.82%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.481.5069.93%67.82%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burton Albion (Visit)

Prediction 15.66%6.39fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.05%15.67%15.64%17.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.885.906.2519.05%17.02%16.95%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.60%21.57%21.54%22.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.254.304.5025.00%23.54%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leicester City (Local): 62.88%; Burton Albion (Visit): 15.66%; Draw: 21.46%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.25, with an expected value of -2.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.42%E -0.760%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.84%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.03%EV -7.95%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.13%EV -4.28%E -0.959%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -7.63%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.08%E -3.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:22
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -7.63%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.08%E -3.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.20%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 19:09
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.68%E -3.78%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:09
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -6.31%E -4.23%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.46%EV -5.13%E -0.847%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -7.07%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -6.31%E -4.23%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -6.93%E -4.69%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -2.16%E -0.345%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -6.93%E -4.69%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -2.16%E -0.345%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.93%E -4.69%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -6.93%E -4.69%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -5.29%E -0.874%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.07%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.93%E -4.69%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -7.56%E -5.14%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.56%E -5.14%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.42%E -0.760%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:49
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 19:23
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 19:23
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.81%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -7.07%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 19:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.90%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -10.08%E -7.05%K -23.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -9.20%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 61.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%16.2%2026-08-15 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:25

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