Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City v Burton Albion

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Leicester City 1–2 Burton Albion

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City (Local)

Previsão 59.94%1.67odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -5.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.18%59.95%59.91%62.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.531.551.6168.97%65.20%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Burton Albion (Visitante)

Previsão 17.39%5.75odd justa
EV +4.35%
Vantagem +0.725%
Kelly +0.870%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.71%17.43%17.42%19.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.485.506.0021.05%18.26%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.67%4.41odd justa
EV -0.264%
Vantagem -0.060%
Kelly -0.078%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.42%22.62%22.68%24.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.17%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leicester City (Local): 59.94%; Burton Albion (Visitante): 17.39%; Empate: 22.67%. Para Burton Albion (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.75. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.35%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:39
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV +2.61%E +0.443%K +0.533%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV +2.61%E +0.443%K +0.533%G +0.014%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -12.73%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 10:45
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV +2.61%E +0.443%K +0.533%G +0.014%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -12.73%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.874%E +0.151%K +0.182%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.73%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 12:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.20%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.12%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.68%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 13:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 16.75%EV -3.13%E -0.561%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -8.20%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 10:00
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:39
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 10:00
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.89%E -5.85%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 10:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -13.09%E -9.02%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -13.09%E -9.02%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.21%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:19
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.85%E -0.427%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.85%E -0.427%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 10:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 10:48
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 09:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -3.66%E -0.862%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -3.66%E -0.862%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 04:25
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -7.69%E -4.99%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.69%E -4.99%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -10.46%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -16.52%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -16.52%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:29
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -17.39%E -3.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -1.85%E -0.427%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 11:59
BetUS🎯⚠ implausível4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +193.71%E +39.53%K +49.67%G +96.21%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -72.17%E -45.11%K -120.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-22 13:55