Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City v Burton Albion

Inicio: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Leicester City 1–2 Burton Albion

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City (Local)

Predicción 59.94%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -5.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.18%59.95%59.91%62.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.551.6168.97%65.20%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Burton Albion (Visitante)

Predicción 17.39%5.75momio equitativo
EV +4.35%
Ventaja +0.725%
Kelly +0.870%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.71%17.43%17.42%19.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.485.506.0021.05%18.26%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.67%4.41momio equitativo
EV -0.264%
Ventaja -0.060%
Kelly -0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.62%22.68%24.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.17%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leicester City (Local): 59.94%; Burton Albion (Visitante): 17.39%; Empate: 22.67%. Para Burton Albion (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.75. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.35%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:39
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +4.35%E +0.725%K +0.870%G +0.038%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.264%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV +2.61%E +0.443%K +0.533%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV +2.61%E +0.443%K +0.533%G +0.014%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -12.73%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 10:45
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.78%EV +2.61%E +0.443%K +0.533%G +0.014%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -12.73%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.874%E +0.151%K +0.182%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.73%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 12:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.20%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.12%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.68%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 13:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 16.75%EV -3.13%E -0.561%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -8.20%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.29%E -5.42%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 10:00
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:39
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 10:00
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.89%E -5.85%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 10:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.09%E -6.73%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -13.09%E -9.02%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -13.09%E -9.02%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.34%E -0.790%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.21%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:19
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.85%E -0.427%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.85%E -0.427%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.29%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 10:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 10:48
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.49%E -4.16%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.06%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 09:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -3.66%E -0.862%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -3.66%E -0.862%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 04:25
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -7.69%E -4.99%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.09%E -4.58%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.69%E -4.99%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -10.46%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -16.52%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -16.52%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:29
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -5.89%E -3.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -17.39%E -3.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -1.85%E -0.427%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 11:59
BetUS🎯⚠ inverosímil4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +193.71%E +39.53%K +49.67%G +96.21%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -72.17%E -45.11%K -120.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-22 13:55