Language:English
Exeter City v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%38.97%38.96%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.382.392.5044.05%41.98%41.84%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.920%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.64%34.01%34.08%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.752.8840.00%36.48%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%27.03%26.96%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.41%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 38.90%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 34.12%; Draw: 26.98%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.47%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.83%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -5.08%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -5.47%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.39%EV -7.53%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 19:17 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 12:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -22.30%E -7.74%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 04:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.10%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.30%EV -8.21%E -3.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.10%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.30%EV -8.21%E -3.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 01:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 01:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 04:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 01:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-26 01:41 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -11.70%E -5.15%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-26 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.35% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |