L’École des cotes

Exeter City v Leyton Orient

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Prévision 38.90%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.80%38.97%38.96%39.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.382.392.5044.05%41.98%41.84%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leyton Orient (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.12%2.93cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -0.920%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.64%34.01%34.08%36.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.742.752.8840.00%36.48%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.799%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%27.03%26.96%29.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.41%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 22:59
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.47%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.83%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 16:35
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 02:25
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -5.08%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:05
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -5.47%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.39%EV -7.53%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 12:14
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 12:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 15:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 15:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 15:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 14:15
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:17
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 12:21
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:30
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:30
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 12:14
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -22.30%E -7.74%K -11.86%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-27 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 17:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 04:29
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 04:30
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 04:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 15:29
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.10%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.30%EV -8.21%E -3.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.10%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.30%EV -8.21%E -3.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 15:30
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 01:51
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 01:51
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:30
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 17:34
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 01:51
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 17:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 01:50
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 01:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-26 01:41
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 19:04
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -11.70%E -5.15%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-26 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.35%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-03-28 03:05