La escuela de los momios

Exeter City v Leyton Orient

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Predicción 38.90%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%38.97%38.96%39.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.382.392.5044.05%41.98%41.84%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leyton Orient (Visitante)

Predicción 34.12%2.93momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.920%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.64%34.01%34.08%36.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.8840.00%36.48%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.15%27.03%26.96%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.41%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 22:59
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.47%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.83%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 16:35
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 02:25
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -5.08%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:05
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -5.47%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.39%EV -7.53%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 12:14
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 12:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 15:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 15:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 15:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 14:15
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:17
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 12:21
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:30
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:30
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 12:14
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -22.30%E -7.74%K -11.86%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-27 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 17:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 04:29
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 04:30
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.601%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 04:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 15:29
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.10%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.30%EV -8.21%E -3.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.10%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.30%EV -8.21%E -3.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 15:30
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 01:51
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 01:51
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:30
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 04:29
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 17:34
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 01:51
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 17:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 01:50
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 01:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-26 01:41
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 19:04
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -11.70%E -5.15%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-26 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.35%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-03-28 03:05