Language:English
Exeter City v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 41.58%2.41fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.54%41.61%42.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3446.51%44.56%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 30.70%3.26fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%30.77%30.64%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.013.003.1834.48%33.26%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -0.846%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.69%27.74%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.343.303.5330.77%29.97%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 41.58%; Burton Albion (Visit): 30.70%; Draw: 27.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.71%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.97%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.71%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.97%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 19:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -6.04%E -2.67%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -2.37%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -2.14%E -0.607%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.36%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -3.90%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.41%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.61%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.61%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |