La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Exeter City v Burton Albion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Exeter City (Local)
Predicción 41.58%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.16%41.54%41.61%42.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.242.252.3446.51%44.56%44.44%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burton Albion (Visitante)
Predicción 30.70%3.26momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.85%30.77%30.64%32.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.013.003.1834.48%33.26%33.33%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -0.846%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%27.69%27.74%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.343.303.5330.77%29.97%30.30%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.71%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.97%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.71%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.97%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 19:16 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -6.04%E -2.67%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -2.37%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -2.14%E -0.607%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:38 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.36%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:11 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -3.90%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.41%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:34 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.61%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.61%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |