默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Exeter City v Burton Albion

开赛时间: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Exeter City (主队)

预测 41.58%2.41公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -2.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.34

博彩公司预测分布
40.16%41.54%41.61%42.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.242.252.3446.51%44.56%44.44%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Burton Albion (客队)

预测 30.70%3.26公平赔率
EV -2.37%
优势 -0.745%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.18

博彩公司预测分布
29.85%30.77%30.64%32.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.013.003.1834.48%33.26%33.33%31.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.72%3.61公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -0.607%
Kelly -0.846%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.53

博彩公司预测分布
26.92%27.69%27.74%28.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.343.303.5330.77%29.97%30.30%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Exeter City (主队):41.58%;Burton Albion (客队):30.70%;平局:27.72%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.53,期望值为-2.14%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.71%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.97%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:26
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.71%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.97%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 19:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 19:16
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -6.04%E -2.67%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -2.37%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -2.14%E -0.607%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:38
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.36%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:11
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.28%E -3.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:25
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -3.90%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.41%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.70%E -3.47%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:36
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:34
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.61%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:20
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.61%E -4.94%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-03-03 19:40