Language:English
Exeter City v Bradford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.59%27.65%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.353.353.5430.77%29.88%29.85%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bradford City (Visit)
Prediction 45.86%2.18fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.41%45.81%45.82%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.09%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV -0.944%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%26.60%26.52%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.403.7333.33%28.97%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 27.58%; Bradford City (Visit): 45.86%; Draw: 26.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.73, with an expected value of -0.944%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -2.36%E -0.665%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.82%E -3.89%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.46%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.66%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.74%E -0.470%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.61%EV -9.80%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.08%EV -0.944%E -0.253%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -20.33%E -6.78%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |