Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Exeter City v Bradford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Exeter City 1–2 Bradford City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Exeter City (Local)

Prévision 27.58%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.59%27.65%28.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.353.353.5430.77%29.88%29.85%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bradford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.86%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.41%45.81%45.82%47.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.09%48.78%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.944%
Avantage -0.253%
Kelly -0.346%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.08%26.60%26.52%28.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.403.7333.33%28.97%29.41%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Exeter City (Local) : 27.58% ; Bradford City (Visiteur) : 45.86% ; Match nul : 26.56%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.77. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.73, pour une espérance de -0.944% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -2.36%E -0.665%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:14
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.82%E -3.89%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.46%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:10
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:10
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.66%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:34
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:31
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:31
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:10
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.74%E -0.470%K -0.645%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:10
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:00
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:31
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:43
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:56
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:35
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.61%EV -9.80%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.08%EV -0.944%E -0.253%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:10
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -20.33%E -6.78%K -10.17%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-02 13:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%2.4%2026-05-02 13:40