La escuela de los momios

Exeter City v Bradford City

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Exeter City 1–2 Bradford City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Predicción 27.58%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.42%27.59%27.65%28.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.353.353.5430.77%29.88%29.85%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bradford City (Visitante)

Predicción 45.86%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.41%45.81%45.82%47.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.09%48.78%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.56%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.944%
Ventaja -0.253%
Kelly -0.346%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.08%26.60%26.52%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.403.7333.33%28.97%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -2.36%E -0.665%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:14
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:10
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.82%E -3.89%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.46%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:35
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:10
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:10
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.66%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:34
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:31
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:31
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:10
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:10
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.74%E -0.470%K -0.645%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:10
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:00
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:31
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:43
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:56
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:35
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 28.61%EV -9.80%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.08%EV -0.944%E -0.253%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:10
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:10
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:15
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.36%E -3.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.04%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -20.33%E -6.78%K -10.17%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-02 13:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%2.4%2026-05-02 13:40