Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 54.40%1.84fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.52%54.47%54.38%55.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7560.61%58.30%58.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 20.19%4.95fair odd
EV +2.99%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%20.14%20.19%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.604.605.1023.09%21.72%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.39%25.43%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.603.8031.25%27.61%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 54.40%; Port Vale (Visit): 20.19%; Draw: 25.41%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV +2.99%E +0.586%K +0.729%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV +2.99%E +0.586%K +0.729%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.74%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.83%EV +2.79%E +0.547%K +0.681%G +0.019% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.43%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 19:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-24 19:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.50%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -8.07%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -8.12%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -8.02%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.908%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -18.70%E -5.84%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.15%E -2.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.15%E -2.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |