La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Predicción 54.40%1.84momio equitativo
EV -4.80%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -6.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.52%54.47%54.38%55.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7560.61%58.30%58.14%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 20.19%4.95momio equitativo
EV +2.99%
Ventaja +0.586%
Kelly +0.729%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.83%20.14%20.19%21.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.604.605.1023.09%21.72%21.74%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.41%3.94momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -0.908%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.39%25.43%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.603.8031.25%27.61%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV +2.99%E +0.586%K +0.729%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV +2.99%E +0.586%K +0.729%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.74%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.83%EV +2.79%E +0.547%K +0.681%G +0.019% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.43%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 19:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:29 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-24 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.50%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 18:15 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -8.07%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -8.12%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -8.02%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.908%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:23 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -18.70%E -5.84%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.15%E -2.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.15%E -2.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |