Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale

Início: 2026-03-24 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Previsão 54.40%1.84odd justa
EV -4.80%
Vantagem -2.74%
Kelly -6.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.52%54.47%54.38%55.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.7560.61%58.30%58.14%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Port Vale (Visitante)

Previsão 20.19%4.95odd justa
EV +2.99%
Vantagem +0.586%
Kelly +0.729%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.83%20.14%20.19%21.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.604.605.1023.09%21.72%21.74%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.41%3.94odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -0.908%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.27%25.39%25.43%27.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.623.603.8031.25%27.61%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 54.40%; Port Vale (Visitante): 20.19%; Empate: 25.41%. Para Port Vale (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.95. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.99%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV +2.99%E +0.586%K +0.729%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV +2.99%E +0.586%K +0.729%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.74%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.83%EV +2.79%E +0.547%K +0.681%G +0.019%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.43%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 19:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 19:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.07%E -0.640%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 19:28
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:29
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:40
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -4.08%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-24 19:24
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:25
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.09%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.50%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 18:15
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:20
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:19
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:19
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:20
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-24 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-24 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 19:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -8.07%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.11%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-24 17:39
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -8.12%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -8.02%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.89%E -3.41%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.908%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-24 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:04
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:23
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:19
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.52%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -9.15%E -5.48%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -18.70%E -5.84%K -8.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-24 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.15%E -2.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.15%E -2.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-24 19:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-03-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-03-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-03-24 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-03-24 19:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-24 19:40