Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 44.74%2.23fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%44.70%44.69%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.68%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.97%27.95%29.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5332.26%30.33%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.422%
Kelly -0.584%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.33%27.36%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.303.6131.75%29.84%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 44.74%; Notts County (Visit): 27.98%; Draw: 27.28%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.80%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.42%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.67%EV -1.52%E -0.422%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.16%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.08%E -0.593%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -6.49%E -3.10%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -7.38%E -3.57%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.27%EV -9.62%E -4.76%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.48%EV -1.24%E -0.351%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -6.43%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -10.51%E -5.26%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.51%E -5.26%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -11.86%E -6.02%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |