默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Doncaster Rovers v Notts County

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Doncaster Rovers 1–1 Notts County

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Doncaster Rovers (主队)

预测 44.74%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.56%
优势 -0.711%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.39%44.70%44.69%46.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.68%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Notts County (客队)

预测 27.98%3.57公平赔率
EV -1.24%
优势 -0.351%
Kelly -0.489%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.53

博彩公司预测分布
26.48%27.97%27.95%29.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.303.303.5332.26%30.33%30.30%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.28%3.67公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.422%
Kelly -0.584%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.61

博彩公司预测分布
26.27%27.33%27.36%28.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.353.303.6131.75%29.84%30.30%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Doncaster Rovers (主队):44.74%;Notts County (客队):27.98%;平局:27.28%。 对于“Notts County (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.57。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.53,期望值为-1.24%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -1.56%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.80%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.42%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.67%EV -1.52%E -0.422%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -5.14%E -2.43%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.16%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.08%E -0.593%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:28
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:28
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -6.49%E -3.10%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.93%E -3.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -7.38%E -3.57%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:30
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:39
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.27%EV -9.62%E -4.76%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.48%EV -1.24%E -0.351%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -6.43%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -10.51%E -5.26%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.51%E -5.26%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -11.86%E -6.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:40