Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cardiff City v Wycombe Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cardiff City (Local)

Prediction 58.26%1.72fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%58.24%58.36%60.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.60%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 18.60%5.38fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.482%
Kelly +0.588%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 5.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.35%18.61%18.49%19.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.965.005.5222.22%20.15%20.00%18.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.14%4.32fair odd
EV +0.201%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%23.15%23.15%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.11%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cardiff City (Local): 58.26%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visit): 18.60%; Draw: 23.14%. For Wycombe Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.35%EV +2.66%E +0.482%K +0.588%G +0.016%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -1.19%E -0.278%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.65%E -0.388%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.65%E -0.388%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.36%EV -5.52%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.97%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.81%E -0.668%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -9.11%E -5.84%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.94%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -3.96%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.94%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -3.96%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.91%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.91%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.81%E -0.668%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:39
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 11:49
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV +0.201%E +0.046%K +0.060%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -19.01%E -5.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.22%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40