La escuela de los momios

Cardiff City v Wycombe Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Predicción 58.26%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%58.24%58.36%60.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.60%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 18.60%5.38momio equitativo
EV +2.66%
Ventaja +0.482%
Kelly +0.588%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.35%18.61%18.49%19.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.965.005.5222.22%20.15%20.00%18.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.14%4.32momio equitativo
EV +0.201%
Ventaja +0.046%
Kelly +0.060%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%23.15%23.15%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.11%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.35%EV +2.66%E +0.482%K +0.588%G +0.016%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -1.19%E -0.278%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.65%E -0.388%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.65%E -0.388%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 12:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.36%EV -5.52%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.97%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:35
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.81%E -0.668%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:35
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:30
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:40
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -9.11%E -5.84%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.94%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -3.96%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.94%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -3.96%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.91%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.91%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.81%E -0.668%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:39
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 11:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV +0.201%E +0.046%K +0.060%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -19.01%E -5.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.22%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40