L’École des cotes

Cardiff City v Wycombe Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Prévision 58.26%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -5.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%58.24%58.36%60.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.60%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wycombe Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.60%5.38cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +0.482%
Kelly +0.588%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.35%18.61%18.49%19.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.965.005.5222.22%20.15%20.00%18.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.14%4.32cote équitable
EV +0.201%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.060%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%23.15%23.15%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.11%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.35%EV +2.66%E +0.482%K +0.588%G +0.016%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -1.19%E -0.278%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.65%E -0.388%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.65%E -0.388%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 12:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.36%EV -5.52%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.97%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:35
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.81%E -0.668%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:35
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:30
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:40
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -9.11%E -5.84%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.94%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -3.96%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.94%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -3.96%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.91%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.91%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.81%E -0.668%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:39
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 11:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV +0.201%E +0.046%K +0.060%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -19.01%E -5.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.22%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40