La scuola delle quote

Cardiff City v Blackpool

Inizio: 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cardiff City (Casa)

Previsione 68.59%1.46quota equa
EV -3.98%
Vantaggio -2.84%
Kelly -9.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.16%68.42%68.76%70.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.32%74.35%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Blackpool (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.64%7.91quota equa
EV +1.16%
Vantaggio +0.145%
Kelly +0.165%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.42%12.74%12.51%14.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.377.508.0015.38%13.57%13.33%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.77%5.33quota equa
EV +3.23%
Vantaggio +0.588%
Kelly +0.719%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.77%18.84%18.73%20.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.814.775.5022.22%20.81%20.99%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV +3.23%E +0.588%K +0.719%G +0.023%8.4%2026-03-21 12:04
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.49%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.25%EV -0.991%E -0.127%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:25
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:50
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:20
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:00
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -3.90%E -0.513%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 10:00
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 12:05
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -1.37%E -0.176%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -8.03%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:19
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -14.02%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -4.53%E -0.600%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -10.28%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 12:24
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 11:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:24
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:25
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 10:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%1.2%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%2.0%2026-03-21 12:25