L’École des cotesFrançais
Cardiff City v Blackpool
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cardiff City (Local)
Prévision 68.59%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -9.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.16%68.42%68.76%70.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.32%74.35%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Blackpool (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.64%7.91cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.145%
Kelly +0.165%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.42%12.74%12.51%14.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.377.508.0015.38%13.57%13.33%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.77%5.33cote équitable
EV +3.23%
Avantage +0.588%
Kelly +0.719%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.77%18.84%18.73%20.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.814.775.5022.22%20.81%20.99%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV +3.23%E +0.588%K +0.719%G +0.023% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 12:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.49%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.25%EV -0.991%E -0.127%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -3.90%E -0.513%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -1.37%E -0.176%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -8.03%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -14.02%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -4.53%E -0.600%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -10.28%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |