La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cardiff City v Blackpool
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cardiff City (Local)
Predicción 68.59%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -2.84%
Kelly -9.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.16%68.42%68.76%70.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.32%74.35%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Blackpool (Visitante)
Predicción 12.64%7.91momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.165%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.42%12.74%12.51%14.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.377.508.0015.38%13.57%13.33%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.77%5.33momio equitativo
EV +3.23%
Ventaja +0.588%
Kelly +0.719%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.77%18.84%18.73%20.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.814.775.5022.22%20.81%20.99%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV +3.23%E +0.588%K +0.719%G +0.023% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 12:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.49%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.25%EV -0.991%E -0.127%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -3.90%E -0.513%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -1.37%E -0.176%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -8.03%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -14.02%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -4.53%E -0.600%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -10.28%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |