مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cardiff City v Blackpool

البداية: 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cardiff City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.59%1.46السعر العادل
EV -3.98%
الأفضلية -2.84%
Kelly -9.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.16%68.42%68.76%70.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.32%74.35%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Blackpool (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.64%7.91السعر العادل
EV +1.16%
الأفضلية +0.145%
Kelly +0.165%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.42%12.74%12.51%14.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.377.508.0015.38%13.57%13.33%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.77%5.33السعر العادل
EV +3.23%
الأفضلية +0.588%
Kelly +0.719%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.77%18.84%18.73%20.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.814.775.5022.22%20.81%20.99%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV +3.23%E +0.588%K +0.719%G +0.023%8.4%2026-03-21 12:04
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.49%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.25%EV -0.991%E -0.127%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:25
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:50
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.46%E -0.278%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -3.98%E -2.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:20
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:00
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -3.90%E -0.513%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 10:00
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 12:05
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.16%E +0.145%K +0.165%G +0.002%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -1.37%E -0.176%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -8.03%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.65%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:19
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -14.02%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.35%E -3.88%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -4.53%E -0.600%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -10.28%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.10%E -6.04%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 12:24
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 11:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.04%E -4.41%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -0.106%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -2.00%E -0.258%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:24
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:25
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.49%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.47%E -7.17%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.41%E -5.49%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 10:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.72%E -4.94%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.81%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -10.84%E -8.34%K -36.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -5.16%E -0.689%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.54%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%1.2%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%2.0%2026-03-21 12:25