Language:English
Burton Albion v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burton Albion (Local)
Prediction 37.58%2.66fair odd
EV -0.423%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.256%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.93%37.44%37.65%38.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.71%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 31.76%3.15fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.498%
Kelly -0.735%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.32%31.91%31.77%34.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.852.853.1037.74%35.06%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -0.956%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.97%30.65%30.58%32.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.033.003.2337.04%33.02%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 37.58%; Stevenage (Visit): 31.76%; Draw: 30.66%. For Burton Albion (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.423%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.447%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -14.25%E -5.28%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.447%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -14.25%E -5.28%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -2.30%E -0.885%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.84%E -5.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -2.30%E -0.885%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.84%E -5.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -2.81%E -0.920%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.68%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -6.63%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.72%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.07%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -1.54%E -0.498%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -8.85%E -3.08%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.72%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 09:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.07%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -7.26%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -0.956%E -0.296%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 13:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |