A Escola das Odds

Burton Albion v Stevenage

Início: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Previsão 37.58%2.66odd justa
EV -0.423%
Vantagem -0.160%
Kelly -0.256%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.93%37.44%37.65%38.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.71%40.00%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Previsão 31.76%3.15odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.498%
Kelly -0.735%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.32%31.91%31.77%34.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.852.853.1037.74%35.06%35.09%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.66%3.26odd justa
EV -0.956%
Vantagem -0.296%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.97%30.65%30.58%32.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.033.003.2337.04%33.02%33.33%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:30
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:20
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:20
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.447%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -14.25%E -5.28%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.447%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -14.25%E -5.28%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -2.30%E -0.885%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.84%E -5.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -2.30%E -0.885%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.84%E -5.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -2.81%E -0.920%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.68%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -6.63%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.72%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 12:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:08
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:24
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.07%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 09:04
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -1.54%E -0.498%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:53
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:20
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -8.85%E -3.08%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:49
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.72%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:44
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:44
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:39
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 09:15
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.07%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:50
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:45
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -7.26%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -0.956%E -0.296%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:44
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 13:09
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-03-07 14:54