La escuela de los momios

Burton Albion v Stevenage

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Predicción 37.58%2.66momio equitativo
EV -0.423%
Ventaja -0.160%
Kelly -0.256%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.93%37.44%37.65%38.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.71%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Predicción 31.76%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.498%
Kelly -0.735%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.32%31.91%31.77%34.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.852.853.1037.74%35.06%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -0.956%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.429%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.97%30.65%30.58%32.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.003.2337.04%33.02%33.33%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:30
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:20
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:19
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -0.423%E -0.160%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -12.66%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:20
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.447%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -14.25%E -5.28%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -1.17%E -0.447%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.17%EV -14.25%E -5.28%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -2.30%E -0.885%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.84%E -5.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -2.30%E -0.885%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.84%E -5.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -2.81%E -0.920%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.68%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -6.63%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.72%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 12:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:08
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:24
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.07%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 09:04
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -1.54%E -0.498%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:53
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:20
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -8.85%E -3.08%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:49
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.72%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:44
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:44
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 08:39
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 09:15
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.07%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:50
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.31%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:45
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -7.26%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -0.956%E -0.296%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.90%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:44
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.53%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 13:09
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.48%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -11.07%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-03-07 14:54