Language:English
Burton Albion v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burton Albion (Local)
Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%47.62%47.49%49.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.942.0054.35%51.82%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.571%
Kelly +0.767%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.87%26.13%26.25%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.503.9030.77%27.76%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.24%26.26%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.6032.26%28.50%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 47.55%; Exeter City (Visit): 26.21%; Draw: 26.24%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV +0.914%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV +0.914%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -0.396%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -0.396%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.02%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -8.23%E -4.27%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.02%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.37%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 06:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.16%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -6.42%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -8.71%E -4.54%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |