A Escola das Odds

Burton Albion v Exeter City

Início: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Previsão 47.55%2.10odd justa
EV -4.90%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -4.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.38%47.62%47.49%49.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.841.931.942.0054.35%51.82%51.55%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 26.21%3.82odd justa
EV +2.23%
Vantagem +0.571%
Kelly +0.767%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.87%26.13%26.25%27.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.603.503.9030.77%27.76%28.57%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.24%3.81odd justa
EV -5.53%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.55%26.24%26.26%27.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.513.503.6032.26%28.50%28.57%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 22:09
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 22:09
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 22:09
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:09
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:09
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 22:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV +0.914%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV +0.914%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 22:09
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -0.396%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -0.396%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.02%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 06:14
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -8.23%E -4.27%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.02%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:43
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.37%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 06:10
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 00:14
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:09
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 06:15
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:20
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.16%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -6.42%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:14
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 14:04
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 23:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 23:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 23:05
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:10
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:34
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:34
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 23:04
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:19
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:15
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:14
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 22:19
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -8.71%E -4.54%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 00:19
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:10
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 19:19
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:14
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 14:04
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:15
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-24 03:04
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%2.5%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%3.7%2026-04-24 02:05