La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Burton Albion v Exeter City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burton Albion (Local)
Predicción 47.55%2.10momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -4.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.38%47.62%47.49%49.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.841.931.942.0054.35%51.82%51.55%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Exeter City (Visitante)
Predicción 26.21%3.82momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.571%
Kelly +0.767%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.87%26.13%26.25%27.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.603.503.9030.77%27.76%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.24%3.81momio equitativo
EV -5.53%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.24%26.26%27.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.6032.26%28.50%28.57%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +2.23%E +0.571%K +0.767%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV +0.914%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV +0.914%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -0.396%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -12.51%E -6.80%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -0.396%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.02%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -8.23%E -4.27%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.02%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.37%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 06:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.16%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -6.42%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -8.71%E -4.54%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |